Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Will Texans Vote Trump?

Everyday the GOP primary in Texas gets closer and before long Republicans here will decide who they will support as their party's nominee to run against Hillary Clinton next November. Right now Donald Trump is in the lead, but will that continue?

If you look at history, it is almost a certainty that Donald Trump will not only win all the GOP delegates from Texas, but he will win the nomination nationwide as well. Why? Simply because history says that whenever any Republican candidate is 20-points ahead of their nearest challenger at Christmas in the year before the party chooses a candidate, that person always wins the nomination.

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Not only is Donald Trump leading his many challengers at this point, he is way out in front of all of them. After watching presidential politics for most of my life, I have never seen anything come close to the voter loyalty shown to Trump. It does not seem to matter how controversial his comments become, because he not only holds his own in the polls afterward but increase his margins with each passing day.

Conventional wisdom would suggest that Senator Ted Cruz should win the GOP delegates from Texas, but that does not look likely right now. At this point in time, there does not seem to be anything or anyone who can stop Donald Trump from winning the Republican Primary in Texas and he is very likely to be the Republican nominee for President of the United States long before the party holds it's convention in Ohio next summer.

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